Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T08:32:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C6 0xc6ad…5f3c crypto 613 markets active 3h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (159 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$27,142 (-9%) realized −$27,142 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate59%629W / 440L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$512per market
Trades / day159.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33,633
7 days−$32,811
14 days−$32,048
30 days−$32,560
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$852
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (159 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)+5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 643 +27.5% +15.4% 34% 6% -23.8%
≤30d 1069 +16.5% +5.4% 59% 4% -17.8%
≤90d 1069 +16.5% +5.4% 59% 4% -17.8%
all 1069 +16.5% +5.4% 59% 4% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.4% 4% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -4.7% 4% -25.6%
15% -13.9% 4% -32.8%
20% -22.3% 4% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +33% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$85 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.13 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$27,142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses629 / 440
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1069 / 613
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$512
Trades / day159.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1069 Trades
no open positions (464 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $96 −$94 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $127 −$127 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$38 -5470%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $188 −$188 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $312 −$312 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $0 −$55 -34577%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $0 −$3 -762%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$1 -250%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$7 -2231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $0 +$51 +39609%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$6 -3633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $68 −$68 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$34 -668%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $151 −$151 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $258 −$258 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $107 −$107 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $225 −$225 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $231 −$231 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$6 -123%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $14 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $0 +$18 +5311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$7 -3607%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $250 −$250 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$24 -12152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $0 +$9 +4455%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$7 -6910%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $0 −$7 -2123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $0 −$5 -1324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $374 −$374 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $470 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $302 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $49 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $43 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $81 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $48 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $67 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $16 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records