Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:40:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6c3…35df crypto 335 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (201 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+2%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate96%320W / 12L
Drawdown76%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day201.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (201 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 332 +2.2% -7.5% 96% 8% -8.1%
≤30d 332 +2.2% -7.5% 96% 8% -8.1%
≤90d 332 +2.2% -7.5% 96% 8% -8.1%
all 332 +2.2% -7.5% 96% 8% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover201.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 8% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 1% -16.9%
15% -24.4% 0% -24.9%
20% -31.8% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.39 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses320 / 12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)332 / 335
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day201.5
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 332 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 94¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 96¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 97¢ 96¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 12 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.05 · official $3.29 · 718 history records