Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6d0…bee9
crypto · 559 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$599 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$553 · open −$46
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$553
Unrealized−$46
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses311 / 246
Open positions2
Markets (closed)557 / 559
History coverage10d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day152.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$403
7 days−$454
14 days−$553
30 days−$553
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 48¢ 48¢ $48 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$83 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $115 +$59 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$30 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$53 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $98 +$48 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$70 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $62 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$20 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$46 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$40 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$18 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$23 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$50 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$43 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$81 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$23 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$31 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$18 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$30 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$22 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$34 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$20 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$43 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$25 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$18 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$41 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$599
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $34 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $101 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $36 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $36 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $16 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $22 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $45 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $47 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $36 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $91 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $35 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $38 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 +2.0% -7.7% 56% 55% -13.6%
≤30d 557 +3.3% -6.5% 56% 54% -13.4%
≤90d 557 +3.3% -6.5% 56% 54% -13.4%
all 557 +3.3% -6.5% 56% 54% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 54% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 51% -21.7%
15% -23.6% 50% -29.2%
20% -31.1% 45% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.82 · official $47.61 (match) · 1866 history records