Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6d1…bc73
crypto · 85 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$92 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$72 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses64 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage68d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69
7 days+$70
14 days+$70
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Will Wayne Rooney be the next manager of Manchester City FC? Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +17%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Jun 14 $20 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$16 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$24 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +34%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$46 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$74
other 5% +$1
tech 3% −$3
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $25 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Will Wayne Rooney be the next manager of Manchester City FC? SELL No 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? SELL Yes 49¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +15.6% +4.6% 79% 52% -1.0%
≤30d 63 +15.2% +4.2% 79% 51% -1.1%
≤90d 85 +10.8% +0.2% 75% 44% -2.1%
all 85 +10.8% +0.2% 75% 44% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.2% 44% -2.1%
10% -9.4% 28% -11.5%
15% -18.1% 16% -20.0%
20% -26.1% 7% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 438 history records