Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:29:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6da…bcd3
crypto · 859 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses463 / 396
Open positions0
Markets (closed)859 / 859
History coverage25d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day44.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 859 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$8
14 days−$65
30 days−$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 307 +71.6% +55.3% 51% 51% -9.6%
≤30d 859 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 53% -13.5%
≤90d 859 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 53% -13.5%
all 859 +21.8% +10.2% 54% 53% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.2% 53% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -0.3% 51% -21.8%
15% -9.9% 45% -29.3%
20% -18.8% 38% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.42 · official $0.00 · 1500 history records