Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6e2…11d1
crypto · 683 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,858 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,858 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized+$2,858
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses331 / 349
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)680 / 683
History coverage20d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day144.6
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 680 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days−$406
14 days+$1,851
30 days+$2,858
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 39¢ 37¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-3%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$1 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 39¢ 44¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$33 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$25 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$17 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$4 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$15 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$17 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$37 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$20 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $123 +$123 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$50 +1556%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$26 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,860
world 0% $0
other 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $60 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $38 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $32 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $23 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $41 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -1.5% -10.9% 38% 38% -21.2%
≤30d 680 +7.5% -2.8% 49% 47% +1.4%
≤90d 680 +7.5% -2.8% 49% 47% +1.4%
all 680 +7.5% -2.8% 49% 47% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 47% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 43% -8.3%
15% -20.6% 39% -17.2%
20% -28.4% 35% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.73 · official $25.04 · 3500 history records