Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:33:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6eb…0ee8
crypto · 342 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$343 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$343 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$343
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses98 / 244
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)342 / 342
History coverage33d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 27 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 27 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 27 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 27 $2 $0 -5%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 27 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 27 $4 +$18 +433%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 27 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 27 $4 +$21 +495%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 27 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$341
sports 2% +$9
other 0% $0
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -47.2% -52.2% 30% 30% -54.6%
≤30d 272 -5.5% -14.5% 31% 30% -36.9%
≤90d 342 +5.3% -4.7% 29% 28% -13.4%
all 342 +5.3% -4.7% 29% 28% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 28% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 26% -21.7%
15% -22.1% 25% -29.2%
20% -29.8% 19% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 830 history records