Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6ec…5633
crypto · 620 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$978 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,371 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,371
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses274 / 346
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)620 / 620
History coverage226d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$46
14 days−$32
30 days−$587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$42 +393%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $25 +$26 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$16 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$25 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +57%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $13 +$8 +61%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 +$23 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +91%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 01 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 01 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 01 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 01 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 30 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 30 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 30 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 30 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 30 $14 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 30 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 30 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 30 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET May 30 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 25 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 24 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 23 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 23 $60 −$40 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 23 $31 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET May 23 $21 +$33 +161%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23? May 23 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 23 $37 −$34 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 23 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 23 $22 +$18 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$1,031
sports 7% −$31
world 5% −$135
other 4% −$124
tech 1% −$6
weather 0% −$43
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 2h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $52 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $47 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $31 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $12 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $25 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $15 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +8.4% -1.9% 50% 50% +2.4%
≤30d 116 -13.8% -22.0% 42% 41% -22.4%
≤90d 404 -4.7% -13.8% 43% 42% -14.6%
all 620 -5.8% -14.8% 44% 42% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 42% -15.2%
10% -22.9% 38% -23.3%
15% -30.4% 35% -30.7%
20% -37.2% 31% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1779 history records