Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:01:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6fa…1ad2
other · 31 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage72d
Avg bet$478
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO Jun 13 $38 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 13 $1,290 −$1 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $1,218 −$2 -0%
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 12 $44 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1,228 −$2 -0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 12 $37 $0 -0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $1,178 −$1 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $1,320 −$1 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $73 $0 -0%
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general el Jun 11 $33 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $1,242 −$3 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $66 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 15 $37 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $22 $0 -0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 15 $688 −$1 -0%
Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi Apr 15 $76 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $684 −$1 -0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 15 $1,381 −$1 -0%
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Apr 14 $48 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $737 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $732 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 13 $69 $0 -0%
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidentia Apr 13 $683 −$1 -0%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos Apr 13 $723 −$1 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? Apr 13 $704 −$1 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? Apr 06 $142 $0 -0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Apr 06 $24 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Apr 06 $75 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Apr 02 $162 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 02 $19 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 40% −$9
tech 31% −$5
other 14% −$2
economics 9% −$2
world 6% −$1
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO SELL No 100¢ $38 27m
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $58 34m
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $25 39m
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $23 56m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $1,288 1h
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $1,262 1h
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO BUY No 100¢ $38 1h
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $874 1h
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $342 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $28 1h
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,218 2h
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 100¢ $43 20h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,226 20h
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $10 20h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,198 20h
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $13 21h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $36 21h
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 100¢ $21 21h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $11 21h
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $875 21h
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $301 26h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $37 26h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $19 26h
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,178 26h
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,318 41h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $44 42h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $17 42h
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,276 42h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 31 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 31 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 107 history records