Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6fd…53df
other · 383 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$114 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,275
Realized−$102
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses80 / 204
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions99
Markets (closed)284 / 383
History coverage32d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day51.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 99 History 284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$129
7 days+$142
14 days+$100
30 days−$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $124 $126 +$3 (+2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $110 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $105 $100 −$5 (-4%)
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No 51¢ 51¢ $98 $98 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $102 $97 −$5 (-5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $54 $60 +$6 (+10%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $47 $46 −$0 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 15¢ 34¢ $20 $44 +$24 (+123%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 68¢ 88¢ $31 $40 +$9 (+29%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $41 $40 −$2 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 37¢ 48¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+31%)
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 26¢ 30¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+15%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $21 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes $10 $15 +$5 (+48%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-2%)
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? Yes $15 $13 −$2 (-16%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98¢ 98¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -12%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $82 +$101 +123%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 −$19 -89%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $78 −$45 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $277 +$100 +36%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $9 −$3 -33%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 −$7 -79%
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 11 $4 $0 -7%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $1 $0 -23%
Will Zohran Mamdani stream on Twitch again by June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$5 +88%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $10 +$5 +50%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $10 +$28 +276%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -26%
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 10 $1 $0 -20%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $4 −$1 -14%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $2 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $4 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 $0 +12%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +148%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +238%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +17%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 09 $2 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 -6%
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%? Jun 09 $1 $0 -49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 -9%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $1 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% +$126
sports 9% −$27
weather 8% −$41
world 7% −$37
politics 6% −$83
crypto 5% +$1
tech 2% −$30
economics 1% −$5
finance 1% −$14
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 6m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 18m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 19m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 19m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 19m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 19m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $20 20m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 21m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 21m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -3.8% -12.9% 43% 32% +8.2%
≤30d 263 -25.5% -32.6% 30% 22% -16.5%
≤90d 284 -25.0% -32.2% 28% 20% -16.6%
all 284 -25.0% -32.2% 28% 20% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.2% 20% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -38.7% 12% -24.6%
15% -44.6% 10% -31.9%
20% -50.0% 8% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,275.27 · official $1,275.31 (match) · 1816 history records