Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T07:27:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc720…fae6 crypto 310 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (128 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$60 (-6%) realized −$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate49%152W / 158L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day128.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (128 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 310 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 46% -20.9%
≤30d 310 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 46% -20.9%
≤90d 310 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 46% -20.9%
all 310 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 46% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover128.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 46% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 42% -28.5%
15% -27.5% 36% -35.4%
20% -34.6% 32% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses152 / 158
Open positions0
Markets (closed)310 / 310
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day128.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 310 Trades
no open positions (120 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 26 $53 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 26 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 26 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 26 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $4 +$5 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 26 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $2 +$3 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 26 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $2 +$3 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $2 +$2 +106%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 641 history records