Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:05:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc72c…c156 crypto 335 markets active 19h ago coverage 68d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$31 (-2%) realized −$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate52%175W / 160L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day8.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$32
14 days−$89
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +2.7% -7.1% 54% 53% -13.6%
≤30d 294 +0.2% -9.3% 53% 52% -14.6%
≤90d 335 -0.7% -10.2% 52% 51% -14.6%
all 335 -0.7% -10.2% 52% 51% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 51% -14.6%
10% -18.8% 51% -22.8%
15% -26.6% 50% -30.3%
20% -33.8% 49% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses175 / 160
Open positions0
Markets (closed)335 / 335
History coverage68d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 335 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$5 -51%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -91%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$8 -76%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$8 -74%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 42h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $4 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 740 history records