Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T05:02:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc73a…51e1 crypto 244 markets active 2h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (172 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$21,937 (+2%) realized +$21,937 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%243W / 1L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown66%max
Avg bet$3,918per market
Trades / day171.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 19d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7,559
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (172 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)+5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 244 +16.9% +5.7% 100% 1% -8.9%
≤90d 244 +16.9% +5.7% 100% 1% -8.9%
all 244 +16.9% +5.7% 100% 1% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover171.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.7% 1% -8.9%
10% -4.4% 1% -17.6%
15% ← realistic here -13.6% 1% -25.6%
20% -22.1% 1% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$4,951) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +17% → late +17% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
13.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$51 vs −$4,950 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.53 per $1 lost it wins $2.53
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21,937
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses243 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)244 / 244
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$3,918
Trades / day171.6
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 244 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 23 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $9,814 +$186 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $1,233 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 22 $321 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $2,997 +$3 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 21 $827 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $371 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 21 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 20 $267 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 20 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 20 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $122 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $9,579 +$421 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $518 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $5,940 +$60 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $49 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $4,953 +$47 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $9,900 +$100 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $4,953 +$47 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $5,940 +$60 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $9,900 +$100 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $6,290 +$62 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $999 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $9,900 +$100 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $6,718 +$68 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $1,915 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $4,952 +$48 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $4,952 +$48 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $4,952 +$48 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $4,951 +$49 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,689 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $261 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4,907 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4,907 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $335 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $108 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $357 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $14 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $293 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $30 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,846 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $104 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $6 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records