Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc73a…da8a
crypto · 966 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses710 / 268
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)978 / 966
History coverage23d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day115.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 978 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$6
14 days−$139
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? No 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$60
other 2% −$8
sports 0% −$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 -4.2% -13.3% 83% 8% -12.0%
≤30d 978 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 28% -12.4%
≤90d 978 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 28% -12.4%
all 978 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 28% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 28% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 22% -20.8%
15% -28.0% 19% -28.5%
20% -35.1% 19% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.97 · official $3.97 (match) · 3500 history records