Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:25:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc743…c356
sports · 57 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
−$1,031 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,031 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,031
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses33 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage128d
Avg bet$457
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,023
7 days+$2,032
14 days+$2,032
30 days+$2,032
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21? Yes 67¢ $1,999 $0 −$1,999 (-100%)
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13? Yes 69¢ $644 $0 −$644 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? Yes 73¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 −$7 -14%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $762 +$473 +62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2,529 +$220 +9%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,186 +$1,343 +113%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $295 +$204 +69%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $215 −$210 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $491 +$9 +2%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $253 +$188 +74%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 Apr 17 $169 +$84 +50%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? Apr 17 $125 −$83 -66%
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Apr 15 $188 +$64 +34%
Hawks vs. Heat Apr 13 $140 +$48 +34%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? Apr 12 $151 −$10 -7%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13? Mar 13 $644 −$644 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? Mar 12 $93 +$252 +270%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $84 −$14 -17%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 11 $50 −$27 -54%
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score Mar 10 $98 +$36 +36%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $1,999 −$1,999 -100%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $526 −$522 -99%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? Feb 16 $239 −$239 -100%
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? Feb 15 $317 −$78 -25%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-14? Feb 14 $779 +$584 +75%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13? Feb 13 $194 −$150 -78%
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz Feb 13 $448 +$46 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Feb 12 $435 +$13 +3%
Clippers vs. Rockets Feb 12 $830 −$395 -48%
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Feb 12 $300 +$101 +34%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 11 $525 +$203 +39%
Spurs vs. Lakers Feb 11 $447 +$14 +3%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? Feb 10 $1,330 −$819 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Feb 10 $1,303 +$26 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Feb 10 $472 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Feb 10 $200 +$10 +5%
Thunder vs. Lakers Feb 10 $1,485 −$212 -14%
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Feb 10 $700 −$643 -92%
Kings vs. Pelicans Feb 10 $650 +$81 +12%
Jazz vs. Heat Feb 10 $550 −$36 -7%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09? Feb 09 $1,678 +$405 +24%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Feb 09 $954 +$223 +23%
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? Feb 08 $13 −$1 -5%
Pacers vs. Raptors Feb 08 $388 +$100 +26%
Heat vs. Wizards Feb 08 $100 +$32 +32%
Knicks vs. Celtics Feb 08 $220 −$212 -96%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $121 −$4 -4%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $200 +$117 +59%
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv Feb 08 $60 −$60 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Kings Feb 08 $160 −$2 -1%
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers Feb 08 $104 +$35 +33%
Warriors vs. Lakers Feb 08 $501 +$383 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% +$505
other 39% −$1,595
crypto 9% +$70
politics 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 15¢ $44 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 79¢ $1,201 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 79¢ $1 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 79¢ $33 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $762 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 89¢ $2,142 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $199 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $100 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $100 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $1 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $6 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $1 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 93¢ $200 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $2,529 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,529 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $687 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $499 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $499 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $215 35h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 59¢ $295 35h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 57¢ $155 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 57¢ $200 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 57¢ $145 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 56¢ $485 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 56¢ $7 2d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? SELL Yes 78¢ $441 55d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? BUY Yes 44¢ $253 55d
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $253 57d
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $169 57d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +20.2% +8.7% 71% 43% +23.8%
≤30d 7 +20.2% +8.7% 71% 43% +23.8%
≤90d 13 +20.0% +8.6% 69% 54% +22.5%
all 57 +1.7% -8.0% 58% 44% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 44% -13.1%
10% -16.8% 39% -21.4%
15% -24.8% 21% -29.0%
20% -32.2% 16% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 169 history records