Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:29:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc757…ccfc
other · 580 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,361 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,397 · open +$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30,331
Realized−$3,397
Unrealized+$36
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses535 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions2
Markets (closed)578 / 580
History coverage71d
Avg bet$5,593
Trades / day41.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 2 History 578 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$263
7 days+$737
14 days+$2,419
30 days+$4,064
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $29,810 $29,835 +$25 (+0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 99¢ $485 $496 +$11 (+2%)
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5 Under 93¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5 Under 34¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $19,980 −$11 -0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $477 +$17 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 13 $9,990 $0 -0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1,634 +$32 +2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $73 +$3 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1,038 +$7 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $190 −$46 -24%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 13 $2,073 +$193 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $14,342 +$20 +0%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $773 +$1 +0%
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $15,025 +$40 +0%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $6,332 +$6 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1,096 +$6 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $7,590 +$8 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $991 +$9 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $19,981 +$19 +0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $245 +$5 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $999 $0 -0%
Will White House post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 11 $2,597 +$3 +0%
Will White House post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $5,104 +$5 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $4,002 +$21 +0%
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $4,317 +$5 +0%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $13,118 +$13 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $320 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $1,684 +$2 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, Jun 09 $207 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, Jun 08 $16,334 +$19 +0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $17,176 +$17 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $29,165 +$150 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $26,456 +$44 +0%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $19,890 +$110 +1%
Will White House post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $73 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, Jun 07 $23,280 +$18 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, Jun 07 $4,902 +$8 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? Jun 06 $3,129 +$40 +1%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June Jun 06 $3,107 +$1 +0%
Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 06 $204 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, Jun 06 $24 $0 +0%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $2,241 +$12 +1%
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $4,179 +$4 +0%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $3,504 +$9 +0%
Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $14 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, Jun 04 $1,999 +$2 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June Jun 04 $9,148 +$16 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $50,467 +$156 +0%
Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $189 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June Jun 03 $2,728 +$3 +0%
Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 02 $342 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $3,627 +$14 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% +$4,927
politics 23% +$268
world 11% +$2,593
sports 7% −$11,653
economics 3% +$311
crypto 2% +$192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $485 1h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 100¢ $9,952 1h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $9,979 1h
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $9,670 4h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $9,990 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $14 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $59 5h
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $320 5h
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $9,990 5h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $19,980 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $1,634 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1,038 6h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $144 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $477 18h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 99¢ $2,266 20h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 97¢ $483 30h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 87¢ $175 31h
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $12 32h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $4,352 34h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 34h
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 34h
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $761 34h
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 34h
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $4,990 35h
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $4,990 36h
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $174 36h
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,235 36h
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $4,922 36h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 90¢ $660 37h
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $3,258 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +0.1% -9.4% 89% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 158 +0.4% -9.2% 93% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 578 -1.0% -10.4% 93% 1% -9.6%
all 578 -1.0% -10.4% 93% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 1% -9.6%
10% -19.0% 1% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.8% 0% -26.1%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30,331.25 · official $30,361.25 (match) · 3500 history records