Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc759…b965
other · 63 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$111 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$343 · open −$115
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$330
Realized+$343
Unrealized−$115
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses19 / 16
Open positions31
Markets (closed)35 / 63
Avg bet$34
Trades / day326.5
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 31 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$322
14 days+$343
30 days+$343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 91¢ $62 $114 +$51 (+82%)
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $92 $46 −$46 (-50%)
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes 21¢ 21¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+4%)
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 9¢ $62 $11 −$51 (-82%)
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30? Yes 35¢ 30¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-15%)
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+5%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by June 30? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $8 $6 −$1 (-16%)
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30? Yes 15¢ 10¢ $8 $5 −$2 (-32%)
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes 10¢ 4¢ $12 $5 −$7 (-57%)
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-35%)
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by June 30? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $21B by June 30? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? Jun 11 $6 $0 -3%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30? Jun 11 $21 +$5 +23%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30? Jun 11 $22 +$5 +22%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30? Jun 11 $12 +$3 +22%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30? Jun 11 $35 +$1 +3%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $194 +$17 +9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? Jun 10 $76 −$2 -3%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30? Jun 10 $7 −$5 -71%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30? Jun 10 $8 −$4 -50%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? Jun 10 $12 −$10 -83%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by June 30? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $33 +$15 +45%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $128 +$91 +71%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? Jun 09 $116 −$2 -2%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30? Jun 09 $22 −$9 -43%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30? Jun 09 $14 −$6 -40%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? Jun 08 $109 +$25 +23%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? Jun 08 $87 +$26 +30%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? Jun 08 $138 −$1 -1%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? Jun 08 $105 −$10 -10%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 08 $100 +$100 +100%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30? Jun 06 $19 −$5 -24%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? Jun 06 $20 −$4 -20%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $100 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $100 $0 +0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $75 +$100 +133%
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Jun 05 $0 $0 +92%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30? Jun 05 $27 +$4 +16%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30? Jun 05 $20 −$11 -53%
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Jun 04 $0 $0 +92%
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Jun 04 $0 $0 +92%
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Jun 04 $0 $0 +92%
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Jun 04 $0 $0 +92%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30? Jun 03 $7 +$4 +49%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30? Jun 03 $4 +$17 +420%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 44% +$226
other 29% −$28
tech 27% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Deel IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 7h
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 10h
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 12h
Deel IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 13h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by June 30? BUY Yes 15¢ $0 14h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 14h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 14h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 14h
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 14h
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by June 30? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 14h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 14h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30? BUY Yes 35¢ $6 15h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $0 15h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 15h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 15h
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by June 30? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 16h
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 16h
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30? SELL Yes 41¢ $10 16h
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30? SELL Yes 19¢ $4 17h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30? SELL Yes 36¢ $3 17h
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 19h
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30? SELL Yes 23¢ $5 19h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 19h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 19h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 19h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 19h
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 23h
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +6.4% -3.8% 45% 38% +8.5%
≤30d 35 +29.2% +16.9% 54% 49% +9.6%
≤90d 35 +29.2% +16.9% 54% 49% +9.6%
all 35 +29.2% +16.9% 54% 49% +9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover326.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.9% 49% +9.6%
10% ← realistic here +5.7% 40% -0.9%
15% -4.5% 31% -10.5%
20% -13.9% 26% -19.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $329.90 · official $329.90 (match) · 3500 history records