Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc75d…b3b4
other · 194 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses16 / 177
Open positions1
Markets (closed)193 / 194
History coverage160d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $36 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $25 $0 -0%
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 18 $24 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 17 $141 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 17 $55 $0 -0%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Mar 17 $31 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Mar 17 $24 $0 +0%
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Mar 16 $29 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Mar 16 $27 −$1 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? Mar 16 $139 $0 -0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 16 $59 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 15 $90 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Mar 15 $35 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Mar 15 $38 $0 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 15 $163 $0 -0%
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 14 $28 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 14 $31 $0 -1%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Mar 13 $72 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Mar 13 $220 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 13 $64 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 12 $70 $0 -0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Mar 12 $240 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 12 $78 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 11 $53 $0 +0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 10 $115 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Mar 10 $191 −$1 -1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 10 $74 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Mar 10 $115 +$1 +0%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 09 $32 −$1 -2%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 09 $168 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Mar 08 $30 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 08 $31 $0 +2%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Mar 08 $79 $0 +0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Mar 07 $69 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 07 $119 $0 -0%
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Mar 07 $187 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? Mar 06 $31 $0 -0%
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 04 $28 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 04 $30 $0 -0%
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 04 $29 $0 -1%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 03 $71 $0 -0%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Feb 25 $177 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 25 $40 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 23 $5 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 23 $164 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 23 $41 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 23 $83 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? Feb 23 $41 $0 -0%
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? Feb 23 $33 $0 -0%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Feb 23 $126 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 28% −$4
other 25% −$5
politics 20% −$2
crypto 11% −$1
economics 6% $0
world 6% +$1
culture 4% $0
tech 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $21 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 94¢ $35 11d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $36 11d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 94¢ $25 26d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 94¢ $25 26d
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 97¢ $24 87d
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 98¢ $24 88d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 94¢ $24 88d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 95¢ $24 88d
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $27 88d
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $27 88d
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $31 88d
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $21 88d
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $10 88d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $24 88d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $24 88d
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? SELL No 96¢ $29 88d
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? BUY No 96¢ $29 89d
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $27 89d
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 96¢ $27 89d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? SELL No 96¢ $38 89d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? BUY No 96¢ $38 89d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 95¢ $29 89d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 96¢ $29 89d
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $31 89d
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $31 90d
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? SELL Yes 95¢ $35 90d
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? BUY Yes 95¢ $35 90d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 94¢ $38 90d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 -0.5% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 12 -0.4% -9.9% 8% 0% -9.8%
all 193 -0.1% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.99 · official $27.99 (match) · 733 history records