Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc762…d6b0
crypto · 534 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses266 / 256
Open positions11
Markets (closed)522 / 534
History coverage507d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 11 History 522 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$23
14 days−$4
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$41
other 1% $0
culture 0% $0
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 49m
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 3h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -10.7% -19.2% 44% 44% -15.0%
≤30d 265 -6.6% -15.5% 47% 46% -14.4%
≤90d 511 -5.8% -14.7% 51% 50% -14.3%
all 522 -5.9% -14.8% 51% 49% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 49% -14.0%
10% -23.0% 46% -22.3%
15% -30.4% 43% -29.8%
20% -37.2% 39% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.73 · official $10.73 (match) · 1125 history records