Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:39:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc768…31bf crypto 58 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$86 (+5%) realized +$86 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate38%22W / 36L
Drawdown58%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day91.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$344
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 38% +9.4%
≤30d 58 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 38% +9.4%
≤90d 58 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 38% +9.4%
all 58 +11.1% +0.5% 38% 38% +9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.5% 38% +9.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.1% 38% -1.1%
15% -17.9% 29% -10.6%
20% -26.0% 19% -19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +21% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -31% → late +53% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$43 vs −$17 · ×2.58 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.58 per $1 lost it wins $1.58
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses22 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage2d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day91.8
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 58 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $261 +$128 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $51 +$65 +126%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $61 +$24 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $74 −$20 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $82 +$64 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$176 +868%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$20 +396%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $110 +$70 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$27 +260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $19 +$128 +666%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$63 +622%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $35 −$27 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $45 +$17 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $25 −$24 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $31 −$23 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$14 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$3 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $97 +$60 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $13 +$37 +279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $41 −$21 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $35 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 215 history records