Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:17:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc76e…1f5b
other · 108 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$11 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses38 / 70
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)108 / 108
History coverage302d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 0 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 13 $43 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 13 $49 $0 +0%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $44 $0 +1%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $46 +$2 +4%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $11 −$2 -17%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 09 $44 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $171 +$1 +1%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $91 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $30 $0 -0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 06 $82 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 05 $44 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 04 $78 +$1 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $54 −$1 -1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 29 $77 $0 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 28 $4 $0 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? May 28 $39 +$4 +10%
Iran leadership change by May 31? May 28 $39 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? May 27 $113 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? May 25 $4 $0 +4%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 23 $36 +$3 +8%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 23 $2 $0 -6%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? May 21 $36 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 20 $36 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 19 $35 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $35 $0 -0%
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? May 18 $4 $0 +5%
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? May 16 $65 $0 +0%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen May 15 $33 $0 -1%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 27 $135 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $32 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $35 $0 +0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $36 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Apr 25 $106 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $32 $0 +0%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $33 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 23 $71 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 22 $33 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Apr 22 $33 $0 -0%
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Apr 21 $21 $0 -0%
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? Apr 20 $35 +$1 +4%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 20 $135 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? Apr 19 $8 +$1 +7%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 18 $71 $0 +0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 16 $31 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $36 $0 +0%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 14 $70 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $104 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Apr 13 $38 $0 +0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 11 $85 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 11 $152 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 31% +$10
politics 22% $0
other 20% +$1
sports 10% $0
crypto 7% $0
economics 4% $0
finance 3% −$2
tech 2% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $43 1h
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $43 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 84¢ $49 16h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 84¢ $49 16h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 90¢ $44 37h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 89¢ $44 41h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $48 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 78¢ $46 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 4d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $8 4d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $11 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $44 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 55¢ $44 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $48 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $48 5d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $23 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $21 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $43 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $30 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $30 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 42¢ $44 7d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 42¢ $44 7d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $43 7d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $43 7d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $44 8d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $44 8d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 82¢ $44 9d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 80¢ $43 9d
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? SELL No 98¢ $8 14d
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? SELL No 98¢ $39 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -1.4% -10.8% 38% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 28 +0.4% -9.2% 43% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 80 +0.5% -9.1% 39% 2% -9.3%
all 108 +0.5% -9.1% 35% 2% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 2% -9.3%
10% -17.8% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 368 history records