Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc776…6c34
sports · 29 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses12 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage78d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $1 +$2 +140%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $8 +$14 +177%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $4 +$3 +82%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playo Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Mar 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner Mar 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playof Mar 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Pl Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winner Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 27 $2 +$3 +122%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs Mar 27 $5 +$7 +132%
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner Mar 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 27 $10 −$6 -63%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner Mar 27 $5 +$5 +108%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 27 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challen Mar 27 $5 +$4 +85%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs Mar 26 $10 +$9 +88%
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winner Mar 26 $5 +$5 +100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Mar 26 $5 −$2 -39%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs Mar 26 $5 +$4 +78%
Valorant: Riddle vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1 Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $2 24m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 47¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $1 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $1 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $1 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $1 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $1 7h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 62¢ $1 44h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 65¢ $1 44h
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY Global Esports 44¢ $1 47h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $3 47h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 39¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 44¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 100¢ $7 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 53¢ $4 3d
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage BUY Fnatic 57¢ $1 76d
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage BUY Fnatic 57¢ $1 76d
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs BUY Aurora 56¢ $1 76d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playo BUY Team Yandex 48¢ $1 76d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +20.2% +8.8% 62% 62% +33.8%
≤30d 8 +20.2% +8.8% 62% 62% +33.8%
≤90d 28 -11.7% -20.1% 43% 43% -22.9%
all 28 -11.7% -20.1% 43% 43% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 43% -22.9%
10% -27.7% 43% -30.3%
15% -34.7% 39% -37.0%
20% -41.1% 36% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 99 history records