Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T22:41:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc779…cc45 crypto 483 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$9,244 (+2%) realized +$9,244 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%477W / 7L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown59%max
Avg bet$1,266per market
Trades / day73.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 41d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,034
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 +2.3% -7.4% 99% 2% -8.8%
≤30d 342 +1.1% -8.6% 98% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 484 +1.1% -8.5% 99% 1% -9.0%
all 484 +1.1% -8.5% 99% 1% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 1% -9.0%
10% -17.3% 0% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -25.3% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.6% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$1,793) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$967 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.52 per $1 lost it wins $1.52
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9,244
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses477 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)484 / 483
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$1,266
Trades / day73.6
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 484 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET Jun 20 $1,511 −$1,511 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET Jun 20 $762 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET Jun 20 $2,299 +$72 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3PM ET Jun 20 $2,314 +$45 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET Jun 20 $186 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET Jun 20 $1,137 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET Jun 20 $24 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $718 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4AM ET Jun 20 $893 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET Jun 20 $1,195 +$51 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $1,545 +$134 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12AM ET Jun 20 $349 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET Jun 20 $2,276 +$31 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET Jun 20 $653 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6PM ET Jun 19 $1,009 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5PM ET Jun 19 $1,007 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4PM ET Jun 19 $465 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET Jun 19 $2,318 +$29 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET Jun 19 $784 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET Jun 19 $913 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET Jun 19 $2,923 +$46 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET Jun 19 $2,394 +$36 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET Jun 19 $832 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET Jun 19 $2,268 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2AM ET Jun 19 $2,144 +$101 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1AM ET Jun 19 $1,004 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $189 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET Jun 19 $2,261 +$106 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET Jun 19 $726 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET Jun 18 $2,160 +$50 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4PM ET Jun 18 $742 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET Jun 18 $1,332 +$20 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET Jun 18 $2,983 +$68 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12PM ET Jun 18 $2,807 +$131 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET Jun 18 $2,147 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET Jun 18 $1,844 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET Jun 18 $2,146 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6AM ET Jun 18 $2,074 +$101 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET Jun 18 $1,599 +$15 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $1,037 +$92 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET Jun 18 $991 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 17 $2,482 +$22 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET Jun 17 $1,536 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET Jun 17 $983 +$10 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $3,168 +$30 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $4,152 +$4 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $2,000 +$82 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET Jun 17 $2,147 +$5 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6AM ET Jun 17 $547 +$41 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET Jun 17 $2,043 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $249 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $249 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $249 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1,570 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $166 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $36 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $527 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $392 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $342 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $153 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $450 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $976 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $44 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $137 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $349 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $299 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $289 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $199 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $56 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $386 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records