Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc77d…ffcd crypto 1655 markets active 0h ago coverage 47d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$77 (-3%) realized −$77 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate95%1580W / 75L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day39.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$7
14 days−$18
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$44
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -23.1% -30.4% 68% 11% -20.9%
≤30d 1063 -1.0% -10.4% 96% 1% -10.6%
≤90d 1655 -1.4% -10.8% 95% 1% -11.2%
all 1655 -1.4% -10.8% 95% 1% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 1% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 1% -19.7%
15% -27.1% 0% -27.4%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1580 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1655 / 1655
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day39.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1655 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 02 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 02 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 02 $3 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records