Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc786…bdfd
sports · 9 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$38 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$38
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $60 −$51 -84%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$21 +205%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$52
other 23% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -9.6% -18.2% 40% 40% -50.4%
≤30d 5 -9.6% -18.2% 40% 40% -50.4%
≤90d 5 -9.6% -18.2% 40% 40% -50.4%
all 5 -9.6% -18.2% 40% 40% -50.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.2% 40% -50.4%
10% -26.0% 40% -55.2%
15% -33.2% 20% -59.5%
20% -39.7% 20% -63.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $20.00 · 15 history records