Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T02:17:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc78e…5d77 crypto 989 markets active 0h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (161 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$57 (-1%) realized −$57 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate36%423W / 738L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day161.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$387
7 days−$509
14 days−$433
30 days−$455
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$72
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (161 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 693 -34.9% -41.1% 31% 26% -24.0%
≤30d 1161 -20.9% -28.4% 36% 32% -17.1%
≤90d 1161 -20.9% -28.4% 36% 32% -17.1%
all 1161 -20.9% -28.4% 36% 32% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover161.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.4% 32% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -35.2% 29% -25.0%
15% -41.5% 26% -32.3%
20% -47.2% 23% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -40% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses423 / 738
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1161 / 989
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day161.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1161 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -310%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -380%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -667%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -246%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -895%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 21m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 30m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 46m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 58m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records