Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc791…4261
other · 158 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$133 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$302 · open −$169
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$615
Realized+$302
Unrealized−$169
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses121 / 22
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions15
Markets (closed)143 / 158
History coverage584d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 15 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$75
14 days+$106
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event? No 97¢ 96¢ $160 $158 −$2 (-1%)
Will Texas Ranchers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Austin Event? No 98¢ 63¢ $110 $71 −$39 (-36%)
Will Texas Ranchers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event? No 97¢ 66¢ $80 $55 −$25 (-32%)
Will Utah Black Diamonds finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event? No 97¢ 66¢ $79 $54 −$25 (-32%)
MLP Austin: Texas Ranchers vs New Jersey 5s New Jersey 5s 96¢ 97¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+1%)
MLP Austin: SoCal Hard Eights vs Miami Pickleball Club SoCal Hard Eights 99¢ 76¢ $55 $42 −$13 (-23%)
MLP Austin: Dallas Flash vs Bay Area Breakers Dallas Flash 99¢ 76¢ $52 $40 −$12 (-23%)
MLP Austin: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders Columbus Sliders 99¢ 76¢ $50 $38 −$12 (-24%)
MLP Austin: Atlanta Bouncers vs Bay Area Breakers Bay Area Breakers 99¢ 99¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Miami Pickleball Club finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event? No 97¢ 68¢ $40 $28 −$12 (-30%)
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Atlanta Bouncers New Jersey 5s 89¢ 50¢ $30 $17 −$13 (-44%)
Will Chicago Slice finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball New York Event? No 92¢ 67¢ $16 $12 −$4 (-27%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 88¢ 61¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-31%)
Will New Jersey 5s finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball New York Event? Yes 19¢ 42¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+114%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 29¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
MLP St. Louis: Brooklyn Pickleball Team vs Orlando Squeeze Jun 08 $129 +$1 +1%
MLP St. Louis: Palm Beach Royals vs Las Vegas Night Owls Jun 08 $10 +$6 +60%
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Picklebal Jun 07 $258 +$8 +3%
Will Phoenix Flames finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Jun 07 $3 $0 +1%
Will Palm Beach Royals finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb Jun 07 $210 +$7 +4%
Will SoCal Hard Eights finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb Jun 07 $50 +$1 +1%
Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pick Jun 07 $3 $0 +1%
MLP St. Louis: St. Louis Shock vs Palm Beach Royals Jun 07 $261 +$43 +17%
MLP St. Louis: Brooklyn Pickleball Team vs Phoenix Flames Jun 06 $5 +$2 +38%
MLP St. Louis: Orlando Squeeze vs St. Louis Shock Jun 06 $5 +$2 +32%
MLP St. Louis: SoCal Hard Eights vs Brooklyn Pickleball Team Jun 06 $90 +$2 +2%
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb Jun 06 $23 $0 +2%
Will Atlanta Bouncers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleba Jun 06 $120 +$1 +1%
MLP St. Louis: Brooklyn Pickleball Team vs Las Vegas Night Owls Jun 05 $50 $0 +0%
MLP St. Louis: Utah Black Diamonds vs Los Angeles Mad Drops Jun 05 $130 +$1 +1%
MLP St. Louis: Palm Beach Royals vs Atlanta Bouncers Jun 05 $80 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: Columbus Sliders vs Palm Beach Royals Jun 01 $184 $0 +0%
MLP Columbus: Las Vegas Night Owls vs Atlanta Bouncers Jun 01 $208 +$13 +6%
MLP Columbus: St. Louis Shock vs New Jersey 5s Jun 01 $1 +$1 +70%
Will New Jersey 5s finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Jun 01 $230 +$1 +0%
MLP Columbus: Chicago Slice vs Florida Smash Jun 01 $97 +$1 +1%
Will Palm Beach Royals finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb May 31 $35 +$2 +6%
Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pick May 31 $120 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: Chicago Slice vs Atlanta Bouncers May 31 $87 +$3 +3%
MLP Columbus: Las Vegas Night Owls vs St. Louis Shock May 30 $150 +$4 +3%
MLP Columbus: Atlanta Bouncers vs Columbus Sliders May 30 $93 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: California Black Bears vs New Jersey 5s May 30 $10 $0 +2%
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
MLP Columbus: St. Louis Shock vs Florida Smash May 30 $40 +$1 +2%
MLP Columbus: New Jersey 5s vs Miami Pickleball Club May 30 $15 +$2 +14%
MLP Columbus: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders May 30 $55 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: Florida Smash vs Palm Beach Royals May 30 $90 +$2 +2%
MLP Columbus: Atlanta Bouncers vs New Jersey 5s May 30 $60 +$1 +2%
MLP Columbus: Carolina Hogs vs St. Louis Shock May 30 $84 +$1 +2%
MLP Columbus: Miami Pickleball Club vs Atlanta Bouncers May 29 $75 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: Chicago Slice vs California Black Bears May 29 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 29 $10 +$1 +12%
MLP Columbus: New Jersey 5s vs Chicago Slice May 29 $19 $0 +1%
MLP Columbus: Atlanta Bouncers vs California Black Bears May 29 $90 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: Palm Beach Royals vs Carolina Hogs May 29 $120 +$1 +1%
MLP Columbus: Las Vegas Night Owls vs Florida Smash May 29 $96 +$1 +1%
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representati May 28 $5 $0 -2%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives i May 28 $30 −$1 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? May 27 $10 +$1 +8%
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? May 22 $10 $0 +0%
Will Trump attend his son's wedding? May 22 $10 −$6 -62%
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli May 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$70
sports 40% +$51
politics 13% +$212
world 3% +$3
crypto 1% −$14
weather 1% −$50
tech 0% +$2
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
MLP Austin: Dallas Flash vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Dallas Flash 99¢ $11 22m
MLP Austin: Dallas Flash vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Dallas Flash 99¢ $21 22m
MLP Austin: Dallas Flash vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Dallas Flash 99¢ $20 22m
MLP Austin: Atlanta Bouncers vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Bay Area Breakers 99¢ $1 1h
MLP Austin: SoCal Hard Eights vs Miami Pickleball Club BUY SoCal Hard Eights 99¢ $10 1h
MLP Austin: SoCal Hard Eights vs Miami Pickleball Club BUY SoCal Hard Eights 99¢ $20 1h
MLP Austin: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders BUY Columbus Sliders 99¢ $30 1h
MLP Austin: California Black Bears vs Columbus Sliders BUY Columbus Sliders 99¢ $20 1h
MLP Austin: Atlanta Bouncers vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Bay Area Breakers 99¢ $20 1h
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Atlanta Bouncers BUY New Jersey 5s 98¢ $20 1h
MLP Austin: Texas Ranchers vs New Jersey 5s BUY New Jersey 5s 96¢ $50 1h
MLP Austin: SoCal Hard Eights vs Miami Pickleball Club BUY SoCal Hard Eights 99¢ $25 1h
MLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Atlanta Bouncers BUY New Jersey 5s 76¢ $10 1h
MLP Austin: Atlanta Bouncers vs Bay Area Breakers BUY Bay Area Breakers 98¢ $14 2h
Will Texas Ranchers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY No 97¢ $30 3d
Will Miami Pickleball Club finish in 1st place at the Major League Pic BUY No 97¢ $40 3d
Will Utah Black Diamonds finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickl BUY No 98¢ $40 3d
Will Utah Black Diamonds finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickl BUY No 96¢ $30 3d
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Picklebal BUY No 97¢ $20 3d
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Picklebal BUY No 96¢ $30 3d
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Picklebal BUY No 98¢ $30 3d
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Picklebal BUY No 97¢ $30 3d
Will Chicago Slice finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY No 95¢ $2 4d
Will Chicago Slice finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY No 95¢ $2 4d
Will Chicago Slice finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY No 95¢ $2 4d
Will Chicago Slice finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY No 90¢ $10 4d
Will New Jersey 5s finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY Yes 19¢ $2 4d
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Picklebal BUY No 98¢ $50 4d
Will Texas Ranchers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball BUY No 97¢ $50 4d
Will Utah Black Diamonds finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickl BUY No 96¢ $9 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +12.5% +1.8% 100% 31% -3.7%
≤30d 56 +0.3% -9.3% 86% 21% -6.8%
≤90d 133 +0.1% -9.5% 88% 14% -8.5%
all 143 -0.8% -10.2% 85% 15% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 15% -4.8%
10% -18.8% 10% -13.9%
15% -26.6% 7% -22.3%
20% -33.8% 6% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $614.65 · official $614.66 (match) · 462 history records