Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:27:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc798…8aab
world · 258 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$222 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$640 · open +$71
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$504
Realized+$640
Unrealized+$71
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses75 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions13
Markets (closed)245 / 258
History coverage36d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 13 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$706
30 days+$511
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 31¢ 50¢ $70 $111 +$41 (+59%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 66¢ 78¢ $82 $96 +$14 (+18%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 28¢ 40¢ $61 $87 +$26 (+43%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 36¢ 44¢ $45 $54 +$9 (+19%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $55 $50 −$5 (-9%)
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? No 15¢ 12¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-16%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 72¢ 94¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+31%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 12¢ 7¢ $30 $18 −$12 (-42%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-20%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 50¢ 56¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 39¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Over 21¢ 20¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Verdant 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? No 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Surrey 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Worcestershire 36¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? No 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5) Milwaukee Brewers 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump dance on May 7, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $9 $0 -4%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $25 −$1 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $31 −$2 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $43 −$2 -5%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $52 −$3 -6%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $14 $0 -2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
ITF Decatur: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $207 +$29 +14%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $311 +$10 +3%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $1,214 −$203 -17%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $412 −$20 -5%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $38 +$178 +473%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $42 −$2 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $6 $0 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $15 −$1 -3%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 11 $16 $0 -3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $11 −$3 -22%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 11 $37 −$2 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18 +$3 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $9 −$4 -42%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$1 -11%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? Jun 11 $47 −$1 -2%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $53 −$29 -55%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $105 +$18 +17%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $15 −$6 -38%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $25 −$1 -6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $10 −$1 -6%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $16 $0 -2%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 10 $15 −$13 -87%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Karyna Fiadosik Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
ITF Hurghada: Elizaveta Gurianova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 10 $151 +$29 +19%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 10 $23 −$3 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 80% +$342
politics 6% +$90
sports 5% −$32
other 5% +$276
economics 2% +$39
crypto 1% +$41
tech 1% −$2
finance 0% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 46¢ $3 9m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 66¢ $9 9m
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 49¢ $4 9m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 18¢ $5 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $8 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $10 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 41¢ $10 12m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $16 12m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $18 12m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $9 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $11 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $8 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $1 1h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 50¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $6 1h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 21¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $3 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -2.3% -11.6% 25% 20% -10.3%
≤30d 215 -4.6% -13.7% 31% 23% -6.6%
≤90d 245 -6.4% -15.3% 31% 22% -7.1%
all 245 -6.4% -15.3% 31% 22% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 22% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 14% -15.9%
15% -30.8% 9% -24.1%
20% -37.6% 9% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $504.03 · official $504.03 (match) · 3500 history records