Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7a1…8497
crypto · 908 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,123 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,123 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses464 / 542
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1006 / 908
History coverage35d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day76.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 1006 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,899
7 days−$1,827
14 days−$1,931
30 days−$1,593
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 13¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+669%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$51 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$30 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -170%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$37 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -101%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$266
other 13% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 14h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 22h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 22h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -60.3% -64.1% 20% 20% -84.5%
≤30d 762 -13.8% -22.0% 46% 46% -25.3%
≤90d 1006 -12.8% -21.1% 46% 46% -25.5%
all 1006 -12.8% -21.1% 46% 46% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 46% -25.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 44% -32.6%
15% -35.5% 39% -39.1%
20% -41.8% 31% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.50 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records