Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T01:10:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C7 0xc7a7…9f02 crypto 1547 markets active 0h ago coverage 59d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 59d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$879 (+0%) realized +$879 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%1542W / 3L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$205per market
Trades / day32.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$233now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$4
14 days+$11
30 days+$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 70% −$95
tech 11% +$86
other 10% +$73
finance 4% +$27
sports 2% +$14
world 2% −$973
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 331 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1545 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.8%
all 1545 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$443 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$233
Realized+$879
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1542 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1545 / 1547
History coverage59d ⚠
Avg bet$205
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 1545 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 23, 9PM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $119 $119 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 23, 9PM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $114 $114 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 23, 8PM ET? Jun 24 $119 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 23, 8PM ET? Jun 24 $103 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 23, 8PM ET? Jun 24 $91 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 23, 7PM ET? Jun 23 $114 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 23, 7PM ET? Jun 23 $85 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 23, 7PM ET? Jun 23 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 23, 2AM ET? Jun 23 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 23, 2AM ET? Jun 23 $114 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,740 on June 23, 2AM ET? Jun 23 $84 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 23, 1AM ET? Jun 23 $114 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 23, 1AM ET? Jun 23 $84 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 23, 1AM ET? Jun 23 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 23, 12AM ET? Jun 23 $111 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 23, 12AM ET? Jun 23 $92 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 23, 12AM ET? Jun 23 $109 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 22, 12AM ET? Jun 22 $83 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 22, 12AM ET? Jun 22 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 22, 12AM ET? Jun 22 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 21, 1AM ET? Jun 21 $114 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 21, 1AM ET? Jun 21 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 21, 1AM ET? Jun 21 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 20, 10PM ET? Jun 21 $94 +$1 +1%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 20, 10PM ET? Jun 21 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 20, 8PM ET? Jun 21 $82 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,800 on June 20, 8PM ET? Jun 21 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 20, 8PM ET? Jun 21 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 19, 4AM ET? Jun 19 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 19, 4AM ET? Jun 19 $114 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 19, 4AM ET? Jun 19 $82 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 19, 2AM ET? Jun 19 $89 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 19, 2AM ET? Jun 19 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 19, 1AM ET? Jun 19 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 19, 1AM ET? Jun 19 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 19, 1AM ET? Jun 19 $81 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 18, 10PM ET? Jun 19 $114 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 18, 10PM ET? Jun 19 $109 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 16, 1AM ET? Jun 16 $123 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,400 on June 16, 1AM ET? Jun 16 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,400 on June 16, 12AM ET? Jun 16 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 16, 12AM ET? Jun 16 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 15, 11PM ET? Jun 16 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 15, 10PM ET? Jun 16 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 15, 9PM ET? Jun 16 $123 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 15, 8PM ET? Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 15, 7PM ET? Jun 15 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 15, 12AM ET? Jun 15 $108 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 15, 12AM ET? Jun 15 $199 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 14, 11PM ET? Jun 15 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 2AM ET? Jun 14 $149 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 14, 2AM ET? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 23, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 17m
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 23, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 26m
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 23, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $91 1h
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 23, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 23, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $119 1h
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 23, 7PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $85 2h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 23, 7PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 2h
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 23, 7PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 2h
Ethereum above 1,740 on June 23, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $84 19h
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 23, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 19h
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 23, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 19h
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 23, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $84 20h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 23, 1AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 20h
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 23, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 20h
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 23, 12AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $92 21h
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 23, 12AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $109 21h
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 23, 12AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $111 21h
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 22, 12AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $83 45h
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 22, 12AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 45h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 22, 12AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 45h
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 21, 1AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 21, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 2d
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 21, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $51 2d
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 20, 10PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 2d
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 20, 10PM ET? BUY No 99¢ $94 2d
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 20, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $82 3d
Ethereum above 1,800 on June 20, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 3d
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 20, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 3d
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 19, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $82 4d
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 19, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $114 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $233.16 · official $233.16 (match) · 3500 history records