Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T03:33:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7ab…76c6 crypto 1013 markets active 1h ago coverage 101d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 101d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$262 (-2%) realized −$262 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate91%925W / 88L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day14.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days+$19
14 days+$7
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +1.1% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 365 +0.6% -9.0% 98% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 701 -8.4% -17.1% 88% 4% -10.8%
all 1013 -3.8% -12.9% 91% 4% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 4% -10.1%
10% -21.3% 1% -18.7%
15% -28.9% 1% -26.5%
20% -35.9% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$7 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

101d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$262
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses925 / 88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1013 / 1013
History coverage101d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day14.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1013 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 25 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 25 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 25 $22 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 25 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 25 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 24 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 24 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 24 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 24 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 24 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 24 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 23 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 22 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $22 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $22 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $29 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $28 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $27 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $28 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $27 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records