Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7b2…b6e6
sports · 4 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$2 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 61¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$4 -76%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$2
other 25% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 10¢ $1 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $7 30m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 61¢ $5 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -18.3% -26.1% 50% 50% -26.3%
≤30d 2 -18.3% -26.1% 50% 50% -26.3%
≤90d 2 -18.3% -26.1% 50% 50% -26.3%
all 2 -18.3% -26.1% 50% 50% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.1% 50% -26.3%
10% -33.2% 50% -33.4%
15% -39.6% 50% -39.8%
20% -45.6% 0% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.56 · official $9.57 (match) · 6 history records