Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7b8…0d21
tech · 259 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$4,968 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,733 · open −$771
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP tech specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3,934
Realized+$5,733
Unrealized−$771
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses115 / 142
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions2
Markets (closed)257 / 259
Avg bet$283
Trades / day64.8
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 2 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,349
7 days+$2,714
14 days+$3,937
30 days+$4,787
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 85¢ $1,102 $1,872 +$770 (+70%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Down 64¢ 86¢ $1,280 $1,730 +$450 (+35%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50¢ 15¢ $1,102 $332 −$770 (-70%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Up 55¢ 14¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-75%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Down 2¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8? Down 3¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? Up 33¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $4,968 +$1,046 +21%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 11 $3,089 +$625 +20%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $8,311 +$678 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $1,731 −$30 -2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 07 $5,218 +$395 +8%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 1? Jun 05 $5 $0 -8%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $146-$148 on the final day of trading of Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 27 above $280? Jun 05 $0 $0 -100%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $148-$150 on the final day of trading of Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on April 30? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 1? Jun 05 $30 −$12 -39%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$395 on the final day of trading of the we Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $275? Jun 05 $3 −$2 -84%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of th Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $280? Jun 05 $34 −$2 -4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of April? Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $395? Jun 05 $13 −$5 -34%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 1? Jun 05 $37 $0 -1%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 1? Jun 05 $85 −$51 -60%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 29? Jun 05 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 1? Jun 05 $6 −$6 -94%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the we Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $295? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of t Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of th Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 27 above $265? Jun 05 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $140-$142 on the final day of trading of Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on May 1? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of t Jun 05 $32 −$6 -19%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 1? Jun 05 $36 −$30 -85%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 30? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $370? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 1? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of th Jun 05 $19 −$13 -71%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of th Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of t Jun 05 $41 $0 +1%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 30? Jun 05 $27 −$26 -96%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 1? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 1? Jun 05 $15 −$15 -100%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 1? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 1? Jun 05 $54 −$3 -5%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 30? Jun 05 $62 −$5 -8%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 29? Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on May 1? Jun 05 $28 −$28 -100%
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 1? Jun 05 $17 −$17 -100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 30? Jun 05 $130 −$20 -16%
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $620? Jun 05 $38 −$11 -29%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of t Jun 05 $34 −$32 -94%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $370? Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 79% +$5,370
politics 9% −$770
tech 6% +$276
other 5% −$207
sports 1% +$293
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 69¢ $236 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 68¢ $344 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 67¢ $49 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 61¢ $3 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 62¢ $305 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 63¢ $310 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 63¢ $310 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 65¢ $19 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 63¢ $17 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 63¢ $320 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 62¢ $19 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 61¢ $52 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 61¢ $310 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 61¢ $310 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 58¢ $5 2h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 55¢ $3 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 57¢ $7 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 57¢ $280 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 57¢ $280 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 58¢ $3 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 59¢ $8 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 61¢ $3 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 60¢ $47 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 58¢ $7 3h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 60¢ $3 4h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 58¢ $47 4h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 59¢ $171 4h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 59¢ $300 4h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 58¢ $209 4h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 56¢ $285 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +313.9% +274.5% 80% 60% +8.9%
≤30d 71 -28.6% -35.4% 25% 15% +0.6%
≤90d 257 +1.4% -8.2% 45% 28% +0.8%
all 257 +1.4% -8.2% 45% 28% +0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 28% +0.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 22% -8.8%
15% -25.0% 18% -17.6%
20% -32.4% 15% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,934.15 · official $3,934.15 (match) · 3500 history records