Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:34:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7b9…08e7 crypto 1508 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$61 (+1%) realized +$61 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate90%1372W / 153L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day90.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67
7 days−$70
14 days−$109
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 -5.0% -14.1% 89% 8% -15.1%
≤30d 1525 -1.1% -10.6% 90% 12% -10.0%
≤90d 1525 -1.1% -10.6% 90% 12% -10.0%
all 1525 -1.1% -10.6% 90% 12% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 12% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 4% -18.6%
15% -26.9% 1% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1372 / 153
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1525 / 1508
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day90.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1525 Trades
no open positions (121 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$3 -304%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$3 -145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$3 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$5 -169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$4 -164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records