trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +28.0% | +15.8% | 100% | 100% | +11.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +28.0% | +15.8% | 100% | 100% | +11.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +26.6% | +14.5% | 100% | 100% | +11.0% |
| all | 18 | -20.8% | -28.3% | 56% | 50% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.3% | 50% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -35.2% | 17% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -41.4% | 17% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -47.2% | 17% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $182 | $181 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 4¢ | $87 | $42 | −$46 (-52%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $161 | +$19 | +12% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $64 | +$36 | +57% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $82 | +$18 | +21% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | Jun 16 | $82 | +$18 | +22% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 12 | $154 | +$32 | +21% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Mar 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Mar 20 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 20 | $66 | +$9 | +14% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | Mar 08 | $92 | +$8 | +9% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? | Mar 07 | $84 | +$16 | +19% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Mar 04 | $66 | +$121 | +183% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | Jan 01 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Jan 01 | $128 | +$88 | +69% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Dec 29 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Dec 18 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | Dec 07 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files? | Nov 29 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | Nov 27 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |