Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:10:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7c7…24c2 crypto 704 markets active 0h ago coverage 111d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 111d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,250 (-9%) realized −$1,244 · open −$6
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate60%420W / 283L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day25.2pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$5
14 days−$64
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 50% −$98
crypto 50% −$251
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -3.0% -12.3% 72% 62% -11.0%
≤30d 59 -9.2% -17.8% 69% 56% -14.3%
≤90d 97 -9.1% -17.8% 71% 57% -16.3%
all 703 +0.5% -9.1% 60% 37% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 37% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 17% -20.2%
15% -25.7% 10% -28.0%
20% -33.0% 6% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$7 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

111d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,244
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses420 / 283
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)703 / 704
History coverage111d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 703 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs KOLESIE 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $17 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Jun 18 $24 +$6 +26%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 18 $5 +$3 +50%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $6 −$6 -99%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 17 $9 +$1 +16%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast Jun 17 $20 +$5 +23%
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout Jun 17 $20 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $10 +$10 +103%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $12 +$8 +67%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $15 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $15 +$3 +20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 +$5 +48%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$7 +128%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$1 +8%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Jun 05 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Jun 05 $14 −$14 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $6 +$4 +57%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $15 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $9 +$1 +13%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Jun 03 $4 +$1 +34%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $14 +$6 +46%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $27 +$3 +12%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 02 $7 +$3 +47%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Eu Jun 01 $6 +$1 +16%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Jun 01 $9 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $20 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 85¢ $17 5m
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed SELL ECHO 60¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed BUY KOLESIE 28¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed SELL ECHO 85¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed BUY ECHO 85¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League SELL Infinite 100¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League BUY Infinite 86¢ $17 2h
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League BUY Infinite 65¢ $7 3h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 66¢ $5 8h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 16¢ $2 10h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 41¢ $4 10h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group SELL Power Rangers 100¢ $10 28h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Power Rangers 86¢ $9 28h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo SELL T1 Academy 100¢ $11 28h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 89¢ $10 31h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 100¢ $25 33h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $20 34h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout SELL Ivory 87¢ $20 35h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout BUY Ivory 85¢ $20 35h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 80¢ $10 2d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $15 2d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY Team Vitality 67¢ $10 2d
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Yakult Brothers 99¢ $20 2d
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 48¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 59¢ $12 3d
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Yakult Brothers 99¢ $16 3d
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 94¢ $15 3d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 83¢ $15 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 3500 history records