Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:11:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc7c7…3b08 sports 595 markets active 3d ago coverage 45d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,450 (-3%) realized −$1,450 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate51%306W / 289L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$71per market
Trades / day30.2pace
Fees−$624est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$411
14 days−$625
30 days−$1,165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,997
weather 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -18.0% -25.8% 40% 38% -24.9%
≤30d 400 -5.4% -14.4% 53% 48% -13.0%
≤90d 595 -6.2% -15.1% 51% 47% -13.8%
all 595 -6.2% -15.1% 51% 47% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 47% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 38% -22.1%
15% -30.6% 26% -29.6%
20% -37.4% 15% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$34 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,450
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses306 / 289
Est. fees paid−$624
Open positions0
Markets (closed)595 / 595
History coverage45d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 595 Trades
no open positions (79 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Jun 15 $38 −$25 -67%
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston Jun 15 $36 −$36 -99%
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 15 $74 $0 +0%
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider Jun 15 $58 −$14 -24%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 15 $99 +$19 +19%
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelken Jun 15 $21 +$8 +37%
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari Jun 15 $21 −$21 -99%
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova Jun 15 $36 +$7 +21%
Nottingham 2: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 15 $31 −$21 -70%
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro Jun 15 $30 −$11 -35%
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Carolina Alves Jun 15 $41 +$35 +86%
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma Jun 14 $70 −$61 -88%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $31 −$28 -91%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 14 $37 +$15 +40%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Jenny Lim Jun 14 $54 +$25 +46%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $31 +$24 +78%
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 14 $81 −$9 -11%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 13 $38 −$1 -4%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $29 +$17 +57%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 13 $30 −$2 -6%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $29 +$10 +33%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 13 $30 −$1 -5%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $39 −$35 -89%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $18 −$18 -99%
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Jun 13 $50 −$21 -42%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $65 +$24 +38%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $50 −$22 -44%
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Jun 13 $38 +$27 +70%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev Jun 13 $50 +$21 +42%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Luna Vujovic Jun 13 $50 −$50 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki Jun 13 $35 +$28 +80%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Jun 13 $129 +$61 +47%
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Jun 12 $19 −$16 -80%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 12 $30 −$1 -4%
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella Jun 12 $50 −$21 -41%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $136 −$133 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $50 −$2 -3%
ITF Vaasa: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Tom Zeuch Jun 12 $81 −$46 -57%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $51 +$25 +50%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $50 +$10 +20%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 11 $56 −$55 -98%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 11 $34 −$2 -7%
ITF Wichita: William Manning vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 11 $34 +$7 +19%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $30 −$2 -8%
ITF Martos: Carles Hernandez vs Joao Domingues Jun 11 $30 +$14 +48%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $117 +$48 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle SELL Elias Ymer 16¢ $13 2d
Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle BUY Elias Ymer 46¢ $38 2d
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston BUY Anna Blinkova 75¢ $36 2d
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 71¢ $74 3d
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 83¢ $44 3d
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider SELL Diana Shnaider 41¢ $44 3d
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider BUY Diana Shnaider 52¢ $58 3d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito SELL Petra Marcinko 99¢ $58 3d
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 56¢ $30 3d
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelken SELL Botic van de Zandschulp 86¢ $29 3d
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelken BUY Botic van de Zandschulp 62¢ $21 3d
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari BUY Maria Sakkari 68¢ $21 3d
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova SELL Marie Bouzkova 88¢ $43 3d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 78¢ $9 3d
Nottingham 2: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola SELL Remy Bertola 13¢ $9 3d
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova BUY Marie Bouzkova 86¢ $20 3d
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro SELL Emma Navarro 50¢ $20 3d
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova BUY Marie Bouzkova 60¢ $16 3d
Nottingham 2: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola BUY Remy Bertola 41¢ $31 3d
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 75¢ $30 3d
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 54¢ $8 3d
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma SELL Madison Brengle $8 3d
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 54¢ $3 3d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena $3 3d
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma BUY Madison Brengle 66¢ $21 4d
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 53¢ $30 4d
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 100¢ $52 4d
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma BUY Madison Brengle 65¢ $49 4d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 42¢ $31 4d
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Jenny Lim SELL Clara Burel 99¢ $79 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1410 history records