Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7d0…1f8a
sports · 478 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$85,679 +103%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,120 · open +$16,846
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$160,764
Realized+$1,120
Unrealized+$16,846
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses68 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$301
Open positions488
Markets (closed)134 / 478
History coverage1d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day3245.0
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 488 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,120
7 days+$1,120
14 days+$1,120
30 days+$1,120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Yes 60¢ 75¢ $2,843 $3,576 +$733 (+26%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No 95¢ 97¢ $2,859 $2,912 +$52 (+2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 53¢ 100¢ $1,250 $2,352 +$1,102 (+88%)
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? No 86¢ 97¢ $1,851 $2,086 +$235 (+13%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 42¢ 86¢ $979 $2,016 +$1,037 (+106%)
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No 83¢ 90¢ $1,749 $1,885 +$136 (+8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 72¢ 82¢ $1,484 $1,693 +$209 (+14%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 100¢ $696 $1,486 +$790 (+114%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? No 94¢ 94¢ $1,464 $1,478 +$14 (+1%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 93¢ 100¢ $1,362 $1,462 +$101 (+7%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No 95¢ 99¢ $1,405 $1,458 +$53 (+4%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? No 93¢ 99¢ $1,288 $1,372 +$84 (+7%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 97¢ $1,322 $1,338 +$16 (+1%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 94¢ 98¢ $1,275 $1,329 +$54 (+4%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? No 95¢ 100¢ $1,228 $1,292 +$64 (+5%)
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 97¢ $1,265 $1,284 +$19 (+2%)
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $1,248 $1,280 +$32 (+3%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 97¢ $1,265 $1,272 +$7 (+1%)
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? No 60¢ 66¢ $1,152 $1,268 +$116 (+10%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 94¢ 92¢ $1,271 $1,244 −$27 (-2%)
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? No 35¢ 77¢ $549 $1,221 +$672 (+123%)
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 44¢ 99¢ $534 $1,192 +$658 (+123%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 96¢ $1,168 $1,177 +$9 (+1%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Yes 53¢ 61¢ $993 $1,146 +$153 (+15%)
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 92¢ 96¢ $1,104 $1,144 +$40 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $41 −$21 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 14? Jun 14 $11 −$8 -70%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 14 $20 +$3 +15%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 14 $4 +$17 +405%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $20 −$15 -78%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Jun 14 $21 −$6 -30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $138 −$35 -26%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $666 −$624 -94%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $323 −$39 -12%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 14 $7 +$19 +286%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $209 −$172 -82%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $21 −$18 -88%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $301 −$287 -95%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $24 −$22 -90%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $22 +$3 +12%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $104 +$10 +9%
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Jun 14 $268 +$204 +76%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 14 $2 +$7 +341%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 14 $217 −$212 -98%
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? Jun 14 $4 $0 -9%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$8 +376%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $45 +$5 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $15 −$10 -66%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $186 −$101 -54%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Jun 14 $2 +$32 +1790%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 14 $78 −$37 -48%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 14 $2,183 +$2,541 +116%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Jun 14 $211 −$35 -16%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $28 −$16 -57%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 Jun 14 $280 +$192 +69%
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? Jun 14 $1 +$28 +3773%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14? Jun 14 $14 −$9 -66%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $116 −$26 -23%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $43 −$26 -60%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $141 +$38 +27%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $517 −$381 -74%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $147 −$122 -83%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $26 −$14 -55%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $99 −$23 -23%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $61 −$12 -19%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 14 $145 +$29 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15? Jun 14 $7 −$6 -92%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $352 +$132 +38%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 +$6 +150%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $44 +$5 +11%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 14 $264 +$312 +118%
Will EC Juventude vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw? Jun 14 $15 +$25 +174%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15? Jun 14 $12 −$10 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $54 +$11 +20%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi Jun 14 $7 +$33 +508%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% +$13,848
world 17% +$4,052
sports 12% −$330
crypto 3% +$22
weather 1% +$295
politics 1% +$287
tech 1% −$159
culture 0% −$5
finance 0% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 73¢ $2 0m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 47¢ $12 0m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 67¢ $25 0m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 47¢ $12 0m
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 83¢ $41 0m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $14 0m
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? BUY Yes 45¢ $156 1m
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 91¢ $26 1m
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan? BUY No 94¢ $238 1m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 48¢ $4 2m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 48¢ $25 2m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 43¢ $16 2m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 2m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 56¢ $34 3m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 59¢ $8 3m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 22¢ $6 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 79¢ $20 3m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY Yes 2¢ $0 4m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 26¢ $3 4m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 60¢ $16 4m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 62¢ $35 4m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 56¢ $674 4m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 56¢ $674 4m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 44¢ $218 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+41.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 +56.4% +41.5% 51% 41% -3.5%
≤30d 134 +56.4% +41.5% 51% 41% -3.5%
≤90d 134 +56.4% +41.5% 51% 41% -3.5%
all 134 +56.4% +41.5% 51% 41% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3245.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +41.5% 41% -3.5%
10% ← realistic here +28.0% 33% -12.8%
15% +15.6% 29% -21.2%
20% +4.3% 25% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $160,763.62 · official $168,967.56 · 3500 history records