Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7d4…cf31
crypto · 1164 markets active 0h ago
5.5score
+$4,406 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,406 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,406
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses954 / 210
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1164 / 1164
History coverage68d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1164 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$659
14 days+$1,615
30 days+$3,466
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$29 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$8 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$44 +209%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$32 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$79 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,410
sports 0% −$3
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 +16.3% +5.2% 78% 46% +7.5%
≤30d 650 +22.4% +10.8% 79% 45% +11.4%
≤90d 1164 +14.0% +3.2% 82% 40% +2.6%
all 1164 +14.0% +3.2% 82% 40% +2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.2% 40% +2.6%
10% -6.7% 25% -7.2%
15% -15.7% 18% -16.2%
20% -24.0% 14% -24.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2119 history records