Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C7 0xc7da…c75c crypto 1436 markets active 1h ago coverage 108d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 107d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,702 (+1%) realized +$1,702 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate91%1310W / 126L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown49%max
Avg bet$79per market
Trades / day18.7pace
Fees−$14est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$1,085
14 days−$901
30 days−$361
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$1,616
other 1% −$206
sports 1% −$101
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
world 0% +$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -9.0% -17.6% 84% 2% -21.7%
≤30d 364 -4.0% -13.2% 88% 3% -10.5%
≤90d 1031 -1.7% -11.1% 91% 8% -8.5%
all 1436 -1.4% -10.8% 91% 12% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 12% -8.5%
10% -19.3% 3% -17.2%
15% -27.1% 2% -25.2%
20% -34.2% 1% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$21 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.5 per $1 lost it wins $1.5
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

108d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,702
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1310 / 126
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1436 / 1436
History coverage108d ⚠
Avg bet$79
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1436 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$3 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$3 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records