Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7e2…e316
other · 119 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses10 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)118 / 119
History coverage108d
Avg bet$323
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 1 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $42 $42 −$0 (-0%)
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Celtics Thunder 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 65¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Suns vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Nets vs. Warriors Nets 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Lakers Cavaliers 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Mavericks 26¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $262 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 26 $272 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 24 $604 −$1 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $293 −$1 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 17 $31 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 16 $269 −$6 -2%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 06 $265 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? May 05 $575 −$1 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 05 $259 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $302 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 03 $294 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 03 $599 −$1 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e May 02 $619 −$1 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $93 $0 -0%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 02 $233 $0 -0%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 02 $355 −$1 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $701 −$1 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 30 $253 −$1 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $313 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 27 $805 −$1 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 26 $324 $0 -0%
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 26 $309 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio Apr 26 $340 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $634 −$1 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 24 $339 $0 -0%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 22 $266 $0 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $265 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 21 $607 −$1 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $297 −$1 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 20 $270 $0 -0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 20 $341 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 20 $301 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $319 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $267 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $256 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 19 $353 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 18 $587 −$1 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $274 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $273 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $334 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 17 $296 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 16 $307 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 16 $295 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 16 $264 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $320 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $281 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 15 $360 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 15 $286 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $341 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $266 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$20
politics 32% −$20
sports 7% +$50
economics 5% −$2
tech 3% −$1
crypto 2% −$1
culture 1% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $42 58m
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $262 12d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $262 17d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $272 18d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $272 19d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $347 20d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $347 22d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $293 22d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $293 27d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $31 27d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 96¢ $263 28d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $269 37d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $265 38d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $265 38d
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $258 39d
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $258 39d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $259 39d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $259 40d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $302 40d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $302 40d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $294 41d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $294 41d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $225 41d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $225 41d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e SELL No 100¢ $251 42d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e BUY No 100¢ $251 42d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $93 42d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $93 42d
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $233 42d
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $233 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 6 -0.5% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 112 +0.8% -8.8% 5% 5% -9.6%
all 118 +3.2% -6.6% 8% 8% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 8% -9.5%
10% -15.5% 7% -18.2%
15% -23.7% 6% -26.1%
20% -31.2% 6% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.98 · official $41.98 (match) · 324 history records