Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T23:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
C7 0xc7e6…a4b4 sports 10 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$256 (+30%) realized +$256 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%5W / 5L
Drawdown71%max
Avg bet$84per market
Trades / day14.1pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 85% −$4
other 15% +$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +6.4% -3.7% 50% 50% -1.6%
≤30d 10 +6.4% -3.7% 50% 50% -1.6%
≤90d 10 +6.4% -3.7% 50% 50% -1.6%
all 10 +6.4% -3.7% 50% 50% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.7% 50% -1.6%
10% -12.9% 50% -11.0%
15% -21.3% 50% -19.6%
20% -29.1% 30% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 61% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$68 vs −$54 · ×1.27 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$256
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 27 $73 −$72 -99%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $107 −$107 -100%
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $156 +$113 +72%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $117 +$53 +46%
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $43 −$43 -98%
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $42 −$41 -98%
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain? Jun 27 $8 +$29 +344%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $99 +$51 +52%
Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 27 $192 +$95 +50%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY Panama 58¢ $73 1h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score BUY No 67¢ $107 1h
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $269 1h
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $48 5h
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $48 5h
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $60 6h
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 BUY Under 45¢ $43 19h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? BUY No 68¢ $117 19h
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 27¢ $42 21h
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain? BUY Yes 22¢ $8 22h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 65¢ $99 22h
Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $287 22h
Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 66¢ $97 24h
Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 66¢ $95 25h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY No 43¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records