Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:04:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7ee…fe5d
sports · 536 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$31,947 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27,449 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3,993
Realized+$27,449
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses280 / 248
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$4,644
Open positions8
Markets (closed)528 / 536
History coverage69d
Avg bet$669
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 8 History 528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12,492
7 days+$16,699
14 days+$18,698
30 days+$19,846
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 56¢ 100¢ $1,020 $1,825 +$805 (+79%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 64¢ 52¢ $1,000 $820 −$180 (-18%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $250 $320 +$70 (+28%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $250 $315 +$65 (+26%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $250 $266 +$16 (+7%)
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes 19¢ 10¢ $500 $259 −$241 (-48%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $250 $187 −$62 (-25%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $506 −$506 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $690 −$690 -100%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $513 +$2,915 +568%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $608 −$37 -6%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $505 +$276 +55%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $1,015 +$985 +97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,019 +$1,759 +172%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $509 +$682 +134%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,019 +$944 +47%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $256 +$58 +22%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,021 −$1,021 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,023 −$1,023 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,023 −$1,023 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,023 +$3,522 +344%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,026 +$6,225 +607%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $510 −$510 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $511 −$511 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1,016 −$1,016 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $508 +$556 +109%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,014 +$909 +90%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $6,137 +$15,472 +252%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $997 −$997 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $2,030 −$2,030 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $2,031 −$2,031 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,037 −$2,037 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,015 +$1,021 +101%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,016 +$1,206 +119%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,013 −$1,013 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,019 −$1,019 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,021 −$1,021 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,021 −$1,021 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,013 +$712 +70%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,011 −$1,011 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $1,014 −$1,014 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $870 −$870 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,006 −$1,006 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $772 −$772 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,103 −$1,103 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $1,015 +$1,026 +101%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,020 +$2,010 +197%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,019 +$1,684 +165%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $1,013 +$805 +79%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $1,016 +$1,158 +114%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $1,013 −$1,013 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $2,025 −$2,025 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $1,020 +$1,021 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$37,353
other 12% −$9,738
finance 0% −$482
world 0% +$289
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $1,011 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 53¢ $571 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 59¢ $607 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $608 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $426 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 20¢ $314 16h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 50¢ $1,015 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $1,019 16h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $506 16h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $506 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $505 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $509 18h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 25¢ $690 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 62¢ $1,011 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $1,008 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $1,023 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 14¢ $1,026 22h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $1,023 23h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 24¢ $1,023 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 31¢ $1,021 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $508 31h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $1,016 44h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $507 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $507 47h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 27¢ $511 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $510 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 79¢ $6,018 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 51¢ $7,733 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 38¢ $210 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 13¢ $2,052 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +27.1% +15.0% 44% 44% +28.5%
≤30d 251 +2.8% -7.0% 48% 48% -2.4%
≤90d 528 +4.4% -5.5% 53% 53% -2.5%
all 528 +4.4% -5.5% 53% 53% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 53% -2.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 49% -11.8%
15% -22.8% 44% -20.4%
20% -30.4% 35% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,992.70 · official $3,994.17 (match) · 1290 history records