trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 83% | 33% | -6.2% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 88% | 31% | -6.3% |
| all | 19 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 89% | 32% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.7% | 32% | -5.4% |
| 10% | -13.0% | 5% | -14.5% |
| 15% | -21.4% | 0% | -22.7% |
| 20% | -29.1% | 0% | -30.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $9 | $8 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 50¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 54¢ | 31¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-42%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65¢ | 98¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+51%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+5%) |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 05 | $7 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | May 16 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 09 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | May 04 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | May 04 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 20 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Apr 01 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Apr 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Apr 01 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 28 | $10 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 18 | $8 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8? | Mar 11 | $1 | $0 | +4% |