Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:49:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc7f9…d198
sports · 11 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$294 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$515 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$185
Realized−$515
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses4 / 5
Est. fees paid−$331
Open positions2
Markets (closed)9 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$950
Trades / day332.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$515
7 days−$515
14 days−$515
30 days−$515
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 32¢ 32¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $96 $87 −$10 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 23¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Top Esports 17¢ 0¢ $451 $0 −$451 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 14¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 21¢ 0¢ $413 $0 −$413 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $232 +$57 +25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $385 −$172 -45%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 14 $267 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,745 −$218 -12%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $386 −$87 -23%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $410 +$76 +19%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,655 +$258 +16%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $459 −$451 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $102 +$22 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$516
other 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 52¢ $159 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 54¢ $327 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 32¢ $412 2m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Team Falcons 62¢ $564 10m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 26¢ $237 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $7 13m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $374 13m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $411 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 20¢ $273 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 56¢ $76 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 56¢ $23 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 63¢ $61 23m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $89 23m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $75 23m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $14 24m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 73¢ $217 25m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 72¢ $285 25m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 76¢ $101 29m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 85¢ $48 30m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 85¢ $19 30m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $204 37m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 76¢ $201 39m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 76¢ $198 39m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 80¢ $496 39m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 49¢ $74 57m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 46¢ $71 57m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 33¢ $21 58m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 25¢ $99 59m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 47¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 47¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-43.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -37.9% -43.8% 44% 44% -21.6%
≤30d 9 -37.9% -43.8% 44% 44% -21.6%
≤90d 9 -37.9% -43.8% 44% 44% -21.6%
all 9 -37.9% -43.8% 44% 44% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover332.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.8% 44% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -49.2% 11% -29.1%
15% -54.1% 0% -35.9%
20% -58.6% 0% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $184.98 · official $184.98 (match) · 332 history records