Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:21:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc81a…b264
crypto · 1202 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$124 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$95
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses957 / 242
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1199 / 1202
Avg bet$6
Trades / day82.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 1199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$196
7 days−$11
14 days−$90
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$67
other 16% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $11 24m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $11 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $11 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $13 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $12 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 794 +1.1% -8.5% 78% 71% -9.7%
≤30d 1199 -0.4% -9.9% 80% 64% -10.7%
≤90d 1199 -0.4% -9.9% 80% 64% -10.7%
all 1199 -0.4% -9.9% 80% 64% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 64% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 39% -19.3%
15% -26.4% 16% -27.1%
20% -33.6% 4% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.21 (match) · 2227 history records