trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 6 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 100% | 0% | -7.9% |
| all | 24 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 92% | 8% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 8% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8,701 | $8,697 | −$4 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Con | Apr 20 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in April? | Apr 20 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Apr 20 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | Jan 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | Nov 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 11 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | Nov 11 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 22? | Oct 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September? | Oct 23 | $9 | +$1 | +14% |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 22? | Sep 22 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August? | Sep 22 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver? | Aug 20 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| No Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Aug 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia? | Aug 20 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Nov 25 | $7,571 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 21 | $2 | $0 | +3% |