Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:02:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C8
0xc843…32b7
crypto · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,959 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,836 · open −$123
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$407
Realized−$7,836
Unrealized−$123
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses147 / 423
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions3
Markets (closed)570 / 573
History coverage251d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 570 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$574
7 days−$725
14 days−$1,024
30 days−$1,024
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals Yes 32¢ 29¢ $235 $213 −$22 (-9%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 51¢ 50¢ $195 $193 −$2 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $201 −$191 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$105 -96%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $255 −$250 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $246 +$259 +105%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $100 +$147 +147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$47 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 08 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 08 $50 +$103 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $101 −$95 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $98 −$93 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $53 +$304 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 08 $102 +$125 +123%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $37 −$35 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 08 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $95 +$237 +250%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 07 $93 −$93 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $101 −$95 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $100 +$222 +222%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $121 −$115 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $85 −$85 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$25 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $198 +$31 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 07 $99 −$99 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 06 $100 −$94 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 06 $98 −$94 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 06 $98 −$98 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 06 $96 +$37 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 06 $99 −$99 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 06 $99 −$94 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 06 $99 +$177 +180%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 06 $99 −$94 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 06 $99 −$94 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 06 $63 −$63 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $100 +$260 +261%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $100 −$95 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $100 +$220 +221%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$7,315
other 3% −$701
sports 1% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $97 8m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $198 16m
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals BUY Yes 32¢ $240 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $201 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $31 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 50m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $103 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $103 1h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 36¢ $255 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $505 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 48¢ $246 24h
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals SELL Yes 100¢ $247 24h
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals BUY Yes 40¢ $100 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $50 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $102 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $100 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $153 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $50 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $99 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $101 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $98 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $100 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $53 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $103 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $103 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $102 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $37 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -2.7% -11.9% 30% 30% -15.5%
≤30d 140 -2.1% -11.4% 31% 31% -16.4%
≤90d 543 -21.1% -28.6% 24% 23% -29.0%
all 570 -15.8% -23.8% 26% 25% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.8% 25% -23.1%
10% -31.1% 24% -30.4%
15% -37.7% 23% -37.2%
20% -43.8% 21% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $406.83 · official $403.15 (match) · 1266 history records