trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 35% | 31% | -36.2% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 35% | 31% | -36.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 35% | 31% | -36.2% |
| all | 26 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 35% | 31% | -36.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -19.4% | 31% | -36.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -27.1% | 23% | -42.3% |
| 15% | -34.1% | 23% | -47.9% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 19% | -53.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $30 | $26 | −$4 (-14%) |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $19 | +$9 (+88%) |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-86%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $10 | +$61 | +599% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | Jun 24 | $101 | −$59 | -58% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5 | Jun 24 | $202 | −$101 | -50% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 | Jun 24 | $51 | +$52 | +103% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | Jun 24 | $51 | −$13 | -26% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5 | Jun 24 | $201 | +$41 | +20% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $101 | +$61 | +61% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$41 | +40% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $102 | +$108 | +107% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 24 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 24 | $101 | +$20 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $151 | −$145 | -96% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $244 | +$123 | +50% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $202 | −$89 | -44% |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 | Jun 24 | $151 | −$59 | -39% |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $51 | −$31 | -61% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $102 | −$37 | -36% |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 24 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5 | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5 | Jun 23 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |