Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:10:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C8 0xc87e…a407 crypto 1657 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,134 (+5%) realized +$2,134 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1574W / 83L
Drawdown45%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day63.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,567
7 days+$1,567
14 days+$1,567
30 days+$1,563
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,563
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +4.8% -5.2% 58% 57% +3.0%
≤30d 1657 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 4% -6.1%
≤90d 1657 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 4% -6.1%
all 1657 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 4% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 4% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 4% -15.1%
15% -25.7% 3% -23.3%
20% -32.9% 3% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$62 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1574 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1657 / 1657
History coverage28d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day63.2
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1657 Trades
no open positions (81 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $146 +$80 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $143 +$128 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $287 −$277 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $202 −$196 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$61 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $130 +$130 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $133 −$129 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $95 +$94 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $56 −$53 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$30 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$129 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $254 +$103 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $105 −$101 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$23 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $336 −$325 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $86 +$42 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $112 −$108 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $45 +$28 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $364 +$495 +136%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $275 −$219 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$17 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $278 +$90 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $274 −$265 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $273 −$263 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $208 +$217 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $113 +$152 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$38 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $339 +$474 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $44 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $87 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $54 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $41 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $19 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3365 history records